Market Info

August 2019 Real Estate Market Update

 

“The balance of power is shifting and sellers need to change their expectations of

what their home is worth,” reports Linda O’Koniewski, CEO of Leading Edge. “Say

good-bye to double digit appreciation. As we move toward a normal market, values

are shifting. An experienced real estate professional can provide data to ensure

homes sell at an optimal price for their clients.”

 

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Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today

Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | MyKCM
 

Shifting trends and industry-leading research are pointing toward some valuable projections about the status of the housing market for the rest of the year.

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, or if you just want to know what experts are saying is on the horizon, here are the top three things to put on your radar as we head into the coming months:

  1. Home prices are appreciating at a more normal rate: Home prices have been appreciating for about ten years now. Experts at the Home Price Expectation Survey, Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac, and Fannie Mae are forecasting continued growth throughout the next year, although it should be leveling-off to normal appreciation (3.6%), as we move into 2020.
  2. Interest rates are low: Over the past 30 years, the average mortgage rate in the United States has been 8.27%, and rates even peaked as high as 18% in the 1980s. Today, at 3.81%, the rate is considerably lower than the historical 30-year average. Although experts predict it may climb into the low 4% range in the near future, that’s still remarkably lower than our running average, suggesting a great time to get more for your money over the life of your loan.
  3. An impending recession does not mean there will be a housing crash: Although expert research studies such as those found in the Duke Survey of American CFOs and the National Association of Business Economics, are pointing toward a recession beginning within the next 18 months, a potential recession isn’t expected to be driven by the housing industry. That means we likely won’t experience a devastating housing crash like the country felt in 2008. Expert financial analyst Morgan Housel tweeted:

“An interesting thing is the widespread assumption that the next recession will be as bad as 2008. Natural to think that way, but, statistically, highly unlikely. Could be over before you realized it began.”

In fact, during 3 of the 5 last U.S. recessions, housing prices actually appreciated:Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | MyKCM

Bottom Line

With prices appreciating and low interest rates available, it’s a perfect time to buy or sell a home. Let’s get together to discuss how you can take the next step in the exciting journey of homeownership.  Contact us today!

July 2019 North of Boston Real Estate Market Update

"An agent recently described the current market as, squirrley," reports Linda O'Koniewski, CEO of Leading Edge. "As the market has softened, buyers are more finicky and more selective, and right now many sellers have unrealistic expectations of their home's worth. The bottom line is, homes must be priced right."

 

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June 2019 North of Boston Real Estate Market Update

“Our market in Eastern Massachusetts remains extremely fickle,” reports Linda O’Koniewski, CEO of Leading Edge. “Homes that are not priced right, not “show ready” or are not in ideal locations are sitting and days on market are growing while others are still flying off the shelf.  Heed the advice of an experienced agent and sellers will realize a faster and more efficient sale.”

If you have any questions about our local market or if you are thinking about buying or selling a home in the North of Boston suburbs, contact the Ternullo Real Estate Team today!

 

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May 2019 North of Boston Real Estate Market Update

“We are experiencing a fickle spring market,” reports Linda O’Koniewski, CEO of Leading Edge.  “Agents are reporting varying market conditions.  Open houses are bursting with attendance over here, and only two parties show up over there.  This mid-priced house, in a hot market priced well, goes without a bid on the call to offer date, this other mid-priced property, in a hot market priced well, is overwhelmed with competing buyers.  Change is in the air.”

If you have any questions about our local market or if you are thinking about buying or selling a home in the North of Boston suburbs, contact the Ternullo Real Estate Team today!

 

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April 2019 North of Boston Real Estate Market Update

 

“The unexpected interest rate drop is adding fuel to a checkered real estate market that went into high gear in March,” reports Linda O’Koniewski, CEO of Leading Edge. “Neighborhoods and towns are both hot and cold depending on price point. Consult a savvy real estate professional who has a pulse on this hyper-local market if you plan to buy or sell.”

 

  

 

If you have any questions about our local market or if you are thinking about buying or selling a home in the North of Boston suburbs, contact the Ternullo Real Estate Team today!

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Millennials Are Skipping Starter Homes for Their Dream Homes

Millennials Are Skipping Starter Homes for Their Dream Homes

A new trend has begun to emerge. With home prices skyrocketing in the starter home category, many first-time homebuyers are skipping the traditional starter homes and moving right into their dream homes.

What’s a Starter Home?

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), simply put, a starter home is a one or two-bedroom home (sometimes even a small, three bedroom). “Prices vary widely by market but starters on average cost $150,000 to $250,000 while trade-up and premium homes cost upwards of $300,000.”

Finding Their Forever Homes Now

A recent CNBC article revealed that there are many factors that delayed older millennials (ages 25-35) from buying a home earlier in their lives. The aftereffects of the Great Recession teaming up with larger education costs forced many to either remain living in their parent’s homes or to rent.

With the economy continuing to improve, many millennials have been able to break into better-paying jobs which has helped spur down payment savings. As the dream of homeownership comes closer to reality, many millennials are saving for their forever homes.

According to the latest statistics from NAR, 30% of millennials bought homes for $300,000 or more this year (up from 14% in 2013). Diane Swonk, Chief Economist at Grant Thornton weighed in saying, “They rented for longer. Now they’re going to where they want to stay.”

More and more millennials are settling down, getting married, and starting families, which is a huge factor driving them to look for larger homes.

Increased competition in the starter home market has also been a driving force in waiting to afford their dream homes. Inventory in the starter home market is down 14.2% from last year, according to research from Trulia. This has driven prices up and has led to bidding wars.

Many first-time buyers who were originally looking for starter homes are realizing that for just a little bit more of an investment, they could afford trade-up or premium homes instead.

Bottom Line

If you plan on purchasing your first home this year, let’s get together to determine how much house you can afford. You may be pleasantly surprised.

Will Home Prices Fall as Mortgage Rates Rise?

Mortgage interest rates have increased by more than half of a point since the beginning of the year. They are projected to increase by an additional half of a point by year’s end. Because of this increase in rates, some are guessing that home prices will depreciate.

However, some prominent experts in the housing industry doubt that home values will be negatively impacted by the rise in rates.

Mark Fleming, First American’s Chief Economist: 

“Understanding the resiliency of the housing market in a rising mortgage rate environment puts the likely rise in mortgage rates into perspective – they are unlikely to materially impact the housing market… 

The driving force behind the increase are healthy economic conditions…The healthy economy encourages more homeownership demand and spurs household income growth, which increases consumer house-buying power. Mortgage rates are on the rise because of a stronger economy and our housing market is well positioned to adapt.”

Terry Loebs, Founder of Pulsenomics:

“Constrained home supply, persistent demand, very low unemployment, and steady economic growth have given a jolt to the near-term outlook for U.S. home prices. These conditions are overshadowing concerns that mortgage rate increases expected this year might quash the appetite of prospective home buyers.”

Laurie Goodman, Codirector of the Housing Finance Policy Center at the Urban Institute:

“Higher interest rates are generally positive for home prices, despite decreasing affordability…There were only three periods of prolonged higher rates in 1994, 2000, and the ‘taper tantrum’ in 2013. In each period, home price appreciation was robust.”

Industry reports are also calling for substantial home price appreciation this year. Here are three examples:

  • The Home Price Expectation Survey says that prices will appreciate by 5.8% this year.
  • The Freddie Mac Outlook Report is looking for home prices to appreciate by around 7% in 2018.
  • The CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase by 5.2% on a year-over-year basis.

Bottom Line

As Freddie Mac reported earlier this year in their Insights Report“Nowhere to go but up? How increasing mortgage rates could affect housing,”

“As mortgage rates increase, the demand for home purchases will likely remain strong relative to the constrained supply and continue to put upward pressure on home prices.”