Last week 675 homes went pending, making it the second busiest week for the year for pending home sales. Watch the video to learn more!
Social Distancing and The North of Boston Real Estate Market Week 10
- By John Ternullo
- Posted
Last week 675 homes went pending, making it the second busiest week for the year for pending home sales. Watch the video to learn more!
We continue to monitor the effects of social distancing on the north of Boston real estate market.
Last week's numbers were similar to what we saw the first week of social distancing in Massachusetts.
See table below.
*This week Governor Baker restricts gatherings to 25 people or less.
**This week Governor Baker restricts gatherings to 10 people or less.
Watch the video to learn more!
Why live in the same home as everyone else? Welcome to 2 Collins Road! Located on a cul-de-sac, behind the circular driveway you'll find this cool contemporary home is packed with style and offers a layout fit for todays lifestyle. The cherry and stainless kitchen seamlessly opens to the dining and family room. The open concept layout allows the enjoyment of time with others while cooking meals. The first floor also offers essential work space for a home office. All the bedrooms are located up the spiral stairs on to the second level. The master suite includes a master bath, walk in closet, and the outdoor space on the balcony provides a refreshing way to start the day or, a perfect place to unwind in the evening. Hardwood flooring throughout. Heated 2 car garage comes complete with electric car charging station! Convenient to the commuter rail, highways, Breakhart Reservation and Lake Quannapowitt!
Click here to learn more about this property!
Send us a message for details or contact us at (617) 275-3379.
Watch the video virtual tour for 2 Collins Rd. Wakefield, MA 01880 below!
Buyer demand decreased slightly within the first 5 weeks of social distancing measures across the north of Boston suburbs. However, it still remained a seller's market. During the last two weeks buyer demand has increased indicating a STRONG seller's market.
Check out the video for details!
If you're considering a move in the suburbs north of Boston we'd love to hear from you!
Call us at 617-275-3379 or Contact us here.
Curious about the numbers for your area? Click the link for your town!
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Over ten million Americans have lost their jobs over the past few weeks. The next announced unemployment rate on May 8th is expected to be in the double digits. Because the health crisis brought the economy to a screeching halt, many are feeling a personal financial crisis. James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, explained that the government is trying to find ways to assist those who have lost their jobs and the companies which were forced to close (think: your neighborhood restaurant). In a recent interview he said:
“This is a planned, organized partial shutdown of the U.S. economy in the second quarter. The overall goal is to keep everyone, households and businesses, whole.”
That’s promising, but we’re still uncertain as to when the recently unemployed will be able to return to work.
A new concern is whether the high number of unemployed Americans will cause the residential real estate market to crash, putting a greater strain on the economy and leading to even more job losses. The housing industry is a major piece of the overall economy in this country.
Chris Herbert, Managing Director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University, in a post titled Responding to the Covid-19 Pandemic, addressed the toll this crisis will have on our nation, explaining:
“Housing is a foundational element of every person’s well-being. And with nearly a fifth of US gross domestic product rooted in housing-related expenditures, it is also critical to the well-being of our broader economy.”
It’s logical to think there would be a direct correlation between the unemployment rate and home sales: as the unemployment rate went up, home sales would go down, and when the unemployment rate went down, home sales would go up.
However, research reviewing the last thirty years doesn’t show that direct relationship, as noted in the graph below. The blue and grey bars represent home sales, while the yellow line is the unemployment rate. Take a look at numbers 1 through 4:
The impact of the unemployment rate on home sales doesn’t seem to be as strong as we may have thought.
Yes. There is no doubt the country hasn’t seen job losses this quickly in almost one hundred years. How bad could it get? Goldman Sachs projects the unemployment rate to be 15% in the third quarter of 2020, flattening to single digits by the fourth quarter of this year, and then just over 6% percent by the fourth quarter of 2021. Not ideal for the housing industry, but manageable.
Some believe this is going to be reminiscent of The Great Depression. From the standpoint of unemployment rates alone (the only thing this article addresses), it does not compare. Here are the unemployment rates during the Great Depression, the Great Recession, and the projected rates moving forward:
We’ve given you the facts as we know them. The housing market will have challenges this year. However, with the help being given to those who have lost their jobs and the fact that we’re looking at a quick recovery for the economy after we address the health problem, the housing industry should be fine in the long term. Stay safe.
As our lives, our businesses, and the world we live in change day by day, we’re all left wondering how long this will last. How long will we feel the effects of the coronavirus? How deep will the impact go? The human toll may forever change families, but the economic impact will rebound with a cycle of downturn followed by economic expansion like we’ve seen play out in the U.S. economy many times over.
Here’s a look at what leading experts and current research indicate about the economic impact we’ll likely see as a result of the coronavirus. It starts with a forecast of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
According to Investopedia:
“Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country's borders in a specific time period. As a broad measure of overall domestic production, it functions as a comprehensive scorecard of the country’s economic health.”
When looking at GDP (the measure of our country’s economic health), a survey of three leading financial institutions shows a projected sharp decline followed by a steep rebound in the second half of this year:
A recent study from John Burns Consulting also notes that past pandemics have also created V-Shaped Economic Recoveries like the ones noted above, and they had minimal impact on housing prices. This certainly gives hope and optimism for what is to come as the crisis passes.
With this historical analysis in mind, many business owners are also optimistic for a bright economic return. A recent PricewaterhouseCooperssurvey shows this confidence, noting 66% of surveyed business owners feel their companies will return to normal business rhythms within a month of the pandemic passing, and 90% feel they should be back to normal operation 1 to 3 months after:From expert financial institutions to business leaders across the country, we can clearly see that the anticipation of a quick return to normal once the current crisis subsides is not too far away. In essence, this won’t last forever, and we will get back to growth-mode. We’ve got this.
Lives and businesses are being impacted by the coronavirus, but experts do see a light at the end of the tunnel. As the economy slows down due to the health crisis, we can take guidance and advice from experts that this too will pass.