Sellers

EasyKnock

 

Our new normal during this pandemic means that we are all spending a lot more time at home.  It also means that many of us are realizing that our home just doesn’t quite fit our needs anymore.  Its been a seller’s market for some time now and with strong buyer demand it makes sense to take advantage of today’s market.  

So, do you buy first or sell first?  Contingencies in today’s market simply don’t work.  If you buy first, that could mean taking on two mortgages.  If you sell first, are you willing to rent, or do you have a place to go?  With the time and effort it takes to move, would you want to move twice?  Typically these were the only two options available to homeowners. Now there is a third option.  

We’ve partnered with a company called EasyKnock.  Through EasyKnock you can unlock the equity of your home, allowing you to put in a competitive offer without the contingency of selling your home first.  EasyKnock will buy your home and allow you to then rent it back.  You can then search for your dream home without worrying about your current value.  When you are ready to sell you can put it on the market to get full value.  Contact us to learn more about how this option might work for you!

 

North of Boston Real Estate Market November 8-14, 2020

Here's a look at the real estate market in the suburbs north of Boston specifically Middlesex and Essex counties, for single-family homes and condominiums, during the week of November 8th through the 14th. Not much has changed since the previous week. Last week we had 2,802 homes available on the market just a slight decrease of 2% compared to the week before. We had 531 homes come on the market last week that is a decrease of 7% compared to the week before. 616 homes went pending last week, that is a very slight decrease of 1% compared to the week before. And overall 22% of the market did get absorbed through pending listings which shows it remains a seller's market. That number has been very consistent over the past three weeks.

If you're currently searching for a home this is not the time to put your search on hold. Although we are seeing a decreasing in the amount of new listings come on every week, interest rates remain very 
low and competition from other buyers who may decide to put their search on pause during the holiday season, may be low. So keep at it and keep looking. For home sellers out there although the market isn't what it used to be in late summer, the market remains very strong and there is still a lack of inventory. As we mentioned before, we are seeing a decrease in the amount of new listings coming on the market. So although every situation is a little bit different, to discuss timing feel free to give us a call at 617-275-3379.

 

 

 

4 Reasons Why the Election Won't Dampen the Housing Market

4 Reasons Why the Election Wont Dampen the Housing Market | MyKCM
 

1. Demand Is Strong among Millennials

The nation's largest generation began entering the housing market last year as they reached the age to marry and have children - two key drivers of homeownership. As the Wall Street Journal recently reported:

“Millennials, long viewed as perennial home renters who were reluctant or unable to buy, are now emerging as a driving force in the U.S. housing market’s recent recovery.”

2. Mortgage Rates Are Historically Low 

All-time low interest rates are also driving demand across all generations. Strong demand created by this rate drop has countered other economic disruptions (e.g., pandemic, recession, record unemployment).

In addition, Freddie Mac just forecasted mortgage rates to remain low through next year:

“One of the main drivers of the strong housing recovery is historically low mortgage interest rates…Given weakness in the broader economy, the Federal Reserve’s signal that its policy rate will remain low until inflation picks up, and no signs of inflation, we forecast mortgage rates to remain flat over the next year. From the third quarter of 2020 through the end of 2021, we forecast mortgage rates to remain unchanged at 3%.”

3. Prices Continue to Appreciate

The continued lack of supply of existing homes for sale coupled with the surge in buyer demand has experts forecasting strong price appreciation over the next twelve months.

4. History Says So

Though it’s true that the market slows slightly in November when it’s a Presidential election year, the pace returns quickly. Here’s an explanation as to why from the Homebuilding Industry Report by BTIG:

“This may indicate that potential homebuyers may become more cautious in the face of national election uncertainty. This caution is temporary, and ultimately results in deferred sales, as the economy, jobs, interest rates and consumer confidence all have far more meaningful roles in the home purchase decision than a Presidential election result in the months that follow.”

Ali Wolf, Chief Economist for Meyers Research, also notes:

“History suggests that the slowdown is largely concentrated in the month of November. In fact, the year after a presidential election is the best of the four-year cycle. This suggests that demand for new housing is not lost because of election uncertainty, rather it gets pushed out to the following year as long as the economy stays on track.”

Bottom Line

There’s no doubt this is one of the most contentious presidential elections in our nation’s history. The outcome will have a major impact on many sectors of the economy. However, as Matthew Speakman, an economist at Zillow, explained last week:

“While the path of the overall economy is likely to be most directly dictated by coronavirus-related and political developments in the coming months, recent trends suggest that the housing market – which has basically withstood every pandemic-related challenge to this point – will continue its strong momentum in the months to come.

Why the Stock Market Correction Probably Won't Impact Home Values

Why the Stock Market Correction Probably Wont Impact Home Values | MyKCM
 

With the housing crash of 2006-2008 still visible in the rear-view mirror, many are concerned the current correction in the stock market is a sign that home values are also about to tumble. What’s taking place today, however, is nothing like what happened the last time. The S&P 500 did fall by over fifty percent from October 2007 to March 2009, and home values did depreciate in 2007, 2008, and 2009 – but that was because that economic slowdown was mainly caused by a collapsing real estate market and a meltdown in the mortgage market.

This time, the stock market correction is being caused by an outside event (the coronavirus) with no connection to the housing industry. Many experts are saying the current situation is much more reminiscent of the challenges we had when the dot.com crash was immediately followed by 9/11. As an example, David Rosenberg, Chief Economist with Gluskin Sheff + Associates Inc., recently explained:

“What 9/11 has in common with what is happening today is that this shock has also generated fear, angst and anxiety among the general public. People avoided crowds then as they believed another terrorist attack was coming and are acting the same today to avoid getting sick. The same parts of the economy are under pressure airlines, leisure, hospitality, restaurants, entertainment consumer discretionary services in general.”

 

 

.Why the Stock Market Correction Probably Wont Impact Home Values | MyKCM

Since the current situation resembles the stock market correction in the early 2000s, let’s review what happened to home values during that time.

The S&P dropped 45% between September 2000 and October 2002. Home prices, on the other hand, appreciated nicely at the same time. That stock market correction proved not to have any negative impact on home values.

Bottom Line

If the current situation is more like the markets in the early 2000s versus the markets during the Great Recession, home values should be minimally affected, if at all.

If you are interested in learning more about the value of your home Contact The Ternullo Team today!

Buying Or Selling A Home During A Time of Uncertainty

Photo by Dan Carlson on Unsplash

This has certainly been a trying week.  Our lifestyle has shifted and there are concerns that many of us haven't had to consider before.  We want our clients to know that we are still working everyday, just with a few more family and nature breaks.  Instead of our office being on Main Street in Reading or Andover, it's in our home, probably next to our young sons, reading or playing.  But we are still available and want to make sure you reach out with any questions! 

At the same time we are lucky to have so much technology at our finger tips! We can stay connected with friends, family, co-works and clients with the push of a button.  We want everyone we are working with to know that we are willing and able to use any technology necessary to continue with your home buying or selling process.
For buyers, there are many ways to see homes virtually.  We'd be happy to show a home over FaceTime or through video!  

For sellers, We have always utilized video, and now more than ever, a professional video walkthrough is crucial.  We can also host "Virtual Open Houses” via Facebook live. Public open houses can be held for a longer timeframes to reduce a large group of people gathering at one time.   

For our sellers that choose to hold a public open house-afterwards,  we will cover the cost and arrange for our cleaners to come in.

If you would like to discuss how the corona virus may impact your move, give us a call

at 617-275-3379.  Or e-mail us at homes@ternullorealestate.com.

North of Boston Real Estate Market Update for October 2019

 

 

“This is a mixed housing market where it can be a buyer AND seller’s market in the same neighborhood,” reports Linda O’Koniewski, CEO, Leading Edge. “Affordable properties are moving swiftly if priced right and high-end and luxury homes are starting to sit on the market. One thing is clear, this generation of buyer has little appetite for fixing up homes.  Homes that are updated, on trend and well-staged at the right price are still flying off the shelf. Properties with older kitchens, baths, wallpaper, heavy drapes, furniture and carpet are more challenging to sell.  HGTV and Pinterest has influenced today’s buyers.”

 

Watch the video below to learn more!

Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today

Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | MyKCM
 

Shifting trends and industry-leading research are pointing toward some valuable projections about the status of the housing market for the rest of the year.

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, or if you just want to know what experts are saying is on the horizon, here are the top three things to put on your radar as we head into the coming months:

  1. Home prices are appreciating at a more normal rate: Home prices have been appreciating for about ten years now. Experts at the Home Price Expectation Survey, Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac, and Fannie Mae are forecasting continued growth throughout the next year, although it should be leveling-off to normal appreciation (3.6%), as we move into 2020.
  2. Interest rates are low: Over the past 30 years, the average mortgage rate in the United States has been 8.27%, and rates even peaked as high as 18% in the 1980s. Today, at 3.81%, the rate is considerably lower than the historical 30-year average. Although experts predict it may climb into the low 4% range in the near future, that’s still remarkably lower than our running average, suggesting a great time to get more for your money over the life of your loan.
  3. An impending recession does not mean there will be a housing crash: Although expert research studies such as those found in the Duke Survey of American CFOs and the National Association of Business Economics, are pointing toward a recession beginning within the next 18 months, a potential recession isn’t expected to be driven by the housing industry. That means we likely won’t experience a devastating housing crash like the country felt in 2008. Expert financial analyst Morgan Housel tweeted:

“An interesting thing is the widespread assumption that the next recession will be as bad as 2008. Natural to think that way, but, statistically, highly unlikely. Could be over before you realized it began.”

In fact, during 3 of the 5 last U.S. recessions, housing prices actually appreciated:Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | MyKCM

Bottom Line

With prices appreciating and low interest rates available, it’s a perfect time to buy or sell a home. Let’s get together to discuss how you can take the next step in the exciting journey of homeownership.  Contact us today!

Will Home Prices Fall as Mortgage Rates Rise?

Mortgage interest rates have increased by more than half of a point since the beginning of the year. They are projected to increase by an additional half of a point by year’s end. Because of this increase in rates, some are guessing that home prices will depreciate.

However, some prominent experts in the housing industry doubt that home values will be negatively impacted by the rise in rates.

Mark Fleming, First American’s Chief Economist: 

“Understanding the resiliency of the housing market in a rising mortgage rate environment puts the likely rise in mortgage rates into perspective – they are unlikely to materially impact the housing market… 

The driving force behind the increase are healthy economic conditions…The healthy economy encourages more homeownership demand and spurs household income growth, which increases consumer house-buying power. Mortgage rates are on the rise because of a stronger economy and our housing market is well positioned to adapt.”

Terry Loebs, Founder of Pulsenomics:

“Constrained home supply, persistent demand, very low unemployment, and steady economic growth have given a jolt to the near-term outlook for U.S. home prices. These conditions are overshadowing concerns that mortgage rate increases expected this year might quash the appetite of prospective home buyers.”

Laurie Goodman, Codirector of the Housing Finance Policy Center at the Urban Institute:

“Higher interest rates are generally positive for home prices, despite decreasing affordability…There were only three periods of prolonged higher rates in 1994, 2000, and the ‘taper tantrum’ in 2013. In each period, home price appreciation was robust.”

Industry reports are also calling for substantial home price appreciation this year. Here are three examples:

  • The Home Price Expectation Survey says that prices will appreciate by 5.8% this year.
  • The Freddie Mac Outlook Report is looking for home prices to appreciate by around 7% in 2018.
  • The CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that home prices will increase by 5.2% on a year-over-year basis.

Bottom Line

As Freddie Mac reported earlier this year in their Insights Report“Nowhere to go but up? How increasing mortgage rates could affect housing,”

“As mortgage rates increase, the demand for home purchases will likely remain strong relative to the constrained supply and continue to put upward pressure on home prices.”